Comparative Analysis of Strategies in the Model of a Confrontation between the Government and Opposition

Abstract: Based on the model of the information warfare between the authorities and the opposition, some typical political scenarios are considered. The first scenario is characterized by the party in office having an advantage in the resource of propaganda broadcasting, while the opposition has an advantage in the virality of the messages distributed. In the second scenario, the values of these parameters are equal. When analyzing each situation, three strategies for distributing a limited broadcasting resource for each of the two parties are considered: increasing, decreasing, and flat. For example, the increasing strategy is characterized by low broadcasting intensity at the beginning of the confrontation and high intensity at the end. Comparing each of the three strategies of the party in power with each of the strategies of the opposition allows us to construct a matrix game in which the payoff is the difference in the numbers of supporters of the parties at the end of the confrontation. The solution of this game determines the most profitable strategy for the given political situation. © 2023, Pleiades Publishing, Ltd.