How time-inconsistent preferences influence venture capital exit decisions? A new perspective for grandstanding

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作者
Yanzhao Li
Ju-e Guo
Shaolong Sun
Yongwu Li
机构
[1] Xi’an Jiaotong University,School of Management
[2] Beijing University of Technology,College of Economics and Management
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关键词
Venture capital; Time-inconsistent preferences; Start-ups; Exit decisions; Real options; G24; D81; G31;
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摘要
Considering that the assumption of time consistency does not adequately reveal the mechanisms of exit decisions of venture capital (VC), this study proposes two kinds of time-inconsistent preferences (i.e., time-flow inconsistency and time-point inconsistency) to advance research in this field. Time-flow inconsistency is in line with the previous time inconsistency literature, while time-point inconsistency is rooted in the VC fund’s finite lifespan. Based on the assumption about the strategies guiding future behaviors, we consider four types of venture capitalists: time-consistent, time-point-inconsistent, naïve, and sophisticated venture capitalists, of which the latter three are time-inconsistent. We derive and compare the exit thresholds of these four types of venture capitalists. The main results include: (1) time-inconsistent preferences accelerate the exits of venture capitalists; (2) the closer the VC funds expiry dates are, the more likely time-inconsistent venture capitalists are to accelerate their exits; and (3) future selves caused by time-flow inconsistency weaken the effect of time-point inconsistency. Our study provides a behavioral explanation for the empirical fact of young VCs’ grandstanding.
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