Discussion of “Are earnings forecasts more accurate when accompanied by cash flow forecasts?”

被引:2
|
作者
Reuven Lehavy
机构
[1] University of Michigan,Ross School of Business
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关键词
Earnings forecasts; Cash flow forecasts; Forecast accuracy; G24; G29; M41;
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摘要
Call et al. (Rev Account Stud 2009, this issue) demonstrate that, relative to analysts who issue earnings but not cash flow forecasts, analysts who issue both forecasts (i) produce relatively more accurate earnings forecasts, (ii) have a better understanding of the persistence of current earnings, and (iii) are less likely to get fired. In my discussion, I highlight some general challenges facing research on analyst cash flow forecasts, demonstrate the diminishing difference in the relative accuracy over time (including its compete elimination by 2004), and examine the sensitivity of some of the evidence in Call et al. (2009) to the age of the forecast and to the presence of extreme bad-news earnings surprises.
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页码:392 / 400
页数:8
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