Energy technology changes and CO2 emission scenarios in China

With its recent rapid economic growth, China has become one of the foremost countries in terms of energy consumption and CO2 emission. The extent of future CO2 emission in China and how to reduce it are important issues. This paper presents the forecast results of CO2 emission studies for several cases and assesses the various policy options by using the AIM/end-use model and analyzing CO2 reduction costs for various sectors. The results shrued that CO2 emission will increase with the rapid economic development in China, but it is possible to slow down the CO2 emission growth rate by using technological progress, efficient markets, and by adopting policies for CO2 reduction.