Prediction of maximum sunspot number in solar cycle 23

被引：11

作者：

Guiqing Z. ^{[1
,2
]}

Huaning W. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] CAS, Beijing Astronomical Observatory, Beijing

[2] CAS, National Astronomical Observatories, Beijing

来源：

Solar Physics | 1999年 / 188卷 / 2期

基金：

中国国家自然科学基金;

关键词：

Regressive Model; Average Level; Solar Activity; Solar Cycle; Linear Regressive Model;

D O I：

10.1023/A:1005282419046

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Instantaneous predictions of the maximum monthly smoothed sunspot number in solar cycle 23 have been made with a linear regressive model, which gives the predicted maximum value as a function of the smoothed sunspot numbers corresponding to a given month from the minimum in all preceding cycles. These predictions indicate that the intensity of solar activity in the current cycle will be at an average level.

引用

页码：397 / 400

页数：3

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