The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change

被引：0

作者：

A. M. Vicedo-Cabrera

N. Scovronick

F. Sera

D. Royé

R. Schneider

A. Tobias

C. Astrom

Y. Guo

Y. Honda

D. M. Hondula

R. Abrutzky

S. Tong

M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio Coelho

P. H. Nascimento Saldiva

E. Lavigne

P. Matus Correa

N. Valdes Ortega

H. Kan

S. Osorio

J. Kyselý

A. Urban

H. Orru

E. Indermitte

J. J. K. Jaakkola

N. Ryti

M. Pascal

A. Schneider

K. Katsouyanni

E. Samoli

F. Mayvaneh

A. Entezari

P. Goodman

A. Zeka

P. Michelozzi

F. de’Donato

M. Hashizume

B. Alahmad

M. Hurtado Diaz

C. De La Cruz Valencia

A. Overcenco

D. Houthuijs

C. Ameling

S. Rao

F. Di Ruscio

G. Carrasco-Escobar

X. Seposo

S. Silva

J. Madureira

I. H. Holobaca

S. Fratianni

机构：

[1] University of Bern,Institute of Social and Preventive Medicine

[2] University of Bern,Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research

[3] London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine,Department of Public Health, Environments and Society

[4] Emory University,Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health

[5] University of Florence,Department of Statistics, Computer Science and Applications ‘G. Parenti’

[6] University of Santiago de Compostela,Department of Geography

[7] CIBER de Epidemiología y Salud Pública (CIBERESP),Ф

[8] European Space Agency (ESA-ESRIN),Lab

[9] London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine,The Centre on Climate Change and Planetary Health

[10] European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast (ECMWF),Institute of Environmental Assessment and Water Research

[11] Spanish Council for Scientific Research,School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health

[12] Nagasaki University,Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine

[13] Umeå University,Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine

[14] Monash University,Faculty of Health and Sport Sciences

[15] University of Tsukuba,School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning

[16] Arizona State University,Facultad de Ciencias Sociales, Instituto de Investigaciones Gino Germani

[17] Universidad de Buenos Aires,Shanghai Children’s Medical Center

[18] Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine,School of Public Health, Institute of Environment and Population Health

[19] Anhui Medical University,School of Public Health and Social Work

[20] Queensland University of Technology,Center for Global Health, School of Public Health

[21] Nanjing Medical University,Faculty of Medicine

[22] University of São Paulo, ArqFuturo INSPER

[23] Health Canada,Air Health Science Division

[24] University of Ottawa,School of Epidemiology and Public Health

[25] Universidad de los Andes,Department of Public Health

[26] Fudan University,School of Public Health

[27] University of São Paulo,Department of Environmental Health

[28] Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Czech Academy of Sciences,Faculty of Environmental Sciences

[29] Czech University of Life Sciences,Institute of Family Medicine and Public Health

[30] University of Tartu,Center for Environmental and Respiratory Health Research (CERH)

[31] University of Oulu,Santé Publique France, Department of Environmental Health

[32] Finnish Meteorological Institute,Institute of Epidemiology

[33] French National Public Health Agency,Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, School of Medicine

[34] Helmholtz Zentrum München—German Research Center for Environmental Health (GmbH),MRC

[35] National and Kapodistrian University of Athens,PHE Centre for Environment and Health, Environmental Research Group, School of Public Health

[36] Imperial College London,Faculty of Geography and Environmental Sciences

[37] Hakim Sabzevari University,School of Physics

[38] Technological University Dublin,Institute for Environment, Health and Societies

[39] Brunel University London,Department of Epidemiology

[40] Lazio Regional Health Service,Department of Global Health Policy, School of International Health, Graduate School of Medicine

[41] The University of Tokyo,Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health

[42] Harvard University,Department of Environmental Health

[43] National Institute of Public Health,Laboratory of Management in Science and Public Health

[44] National Agency for Public Health of the Ministry of Health,Centre for Sustainability and Environmental Health

[45] National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM),Health Innovation Laboratory, Institute of Tropical Medicine ‘Alexander von Humboldt’

[46] Norwegian Institute of Public Health,Department of Environmental Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering

[47] Universidad Peruana Cayetano Heredia,Department of Epidemiology

[48] Kyoto University,Department of Enviromental Health

[49] Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge,EPIUnit—Instituto de Saúde Pública

[50] Instituto Nacional de Saúde Dr Ricardo Jorge,Faculty of Geography

来源：

Nature Climate Change | 2021年 / 11卷

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中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991–2018. Across all study countries, we find that 37.0% (range 20.5–76.3%) of warm-season heat-related deaths can be attributed to anthropogenic climate change and that increased mortality is evident on every continent. Burdens varied geographically but were of the order of dozens to hundreds of deaths per year in many locations. Our findings support the urgent need for more ambitious mitigation and adaptation strategies to minimize the public health impacts of climate change.

引用

页码：492 / 500

页数：8

共 50 条

[1] The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced climate change
Vicedo-Cabrera, A. M.
Scovronick, N.
Sera, F.
Roye, D.
Schneider, R.
Tobias, A.
Astrom, C.
Guo, Y.
Honda, Y.
Hondula, D. M.
Abrutzky, R.
Tong, S.
Coelho, M. de Sousa Zanotti Stagliorio
Saldiva, P. H. Nascimento
Lavigne, E.
Correa, P. Matus
Ortega, N. Valdes
Kan, H.
Osorio, S.
Kysely, J.
Urban, A.
Orru, H.
Indermitte, E.
Jaakkola, J. J. K.
Ryti, N.
Pascal, M.
Schneider, A.
Katsouyanni, K.
Samoli, E.
Mayvaneh, F.
Entezari, A.
Goodman, P.
Zeka, A.
Michelozzi, P.
de'Donato, F.
Hashizume, M.
Alahmad, B.
Diaz, M. Hurtado
Valencia, C. De La Cruz
Overcenco, A.
Houthuijs, D.
Ameling, C.
Rao, S.
Di Ruscio, F.
Carrasco-Escobar, G.
Seposo, X.
Silva, S.
Madureira, J.
Holobaca, I. H.
Fratianni, S.
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