More on the Seasonal Determinants of Turnout: Holidays and French Presidential Elections

被引:0
|
作者
Eric Dubois
Christian Ben Lakhdar
机构
[1] CNRS,
[2] CERAPS,undefined
[3] University of Lille 2,undefined
[4] 1 place Déliot,undefined
[5] BP 629,undefined
[6] LAEP,undefined
[7] University of Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne,undefined
[8] Maison des Sciences Economiques,undefined
[9] ESSEC Doctoral program,undefined
[10] 1,undefined
[11] Avenue Bernard Hirsch,undefined
[12] BP 105,undefined
[13] MATISSE,undefined
[14] University of Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne,undefined
[15] Maison des Sciences Economiques,undefined
关键词
seasonal factors; climate; weather; holidays; vote; presidential election; turnout; France;
D O I
10.1057/palgrave.fp.8200123
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
This article aims to test a proposition widely spread among scholars and journalists according to which holidays would have an impact on electoral turnout. To our knowledge, this possibility has not been investigated in the French case yet. Our data, gathered for the last three presidential elections, strongly support a negative effect of holidays on turnout. Since turnout and left vote are linked, this negative influence helps to explain the defeat of the main left-wing candidate in 2002 even though it does not represent the sole factor.
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页码:144 / 159
页数:15
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