Spatiotemporal variation and influencing factors of vegetation cover in the ecologically fragile areas of China from 2000 to 2015: a case study in Shaanxi Province

China’s Loess Plateau region has a weak ecological environment, and the government has invested a considerable amount of money to repair the ecological environment. Vegetation plays an important role in the ecological environment. The Sen slope analysis and the Mann-Kendall trend test were used to analyze the trend and significance of vegetation coverage from 2000 to 2015. The vegetation coverage was analyzed to investigate the influence of land use types and conversion. The Pearson Correlation Test and qualitative analysis were utilized at the pixel and regional scales to investigate the influence of meteorological factors and topographical factors. The fluctuation of vegetation in Shaanxi was analyzed from 2000 to 2015. The impact of anthropogenic activities was investigated using residual trend analysis. Hurst exponent and H/S analysis were applied to investigate the potential future vegetation coverage trend. The vegetation coverage in Shaanxi Province improved from 2000 to 2015. In unchanged land use types, all types showed significant improvements expect for other construction land. In changed land use types, most of the land use types converted into urban land showed degradation. All the land use types converted into dry land, forest, and unused land showed improvements. Ecological protection has achieved great results. Precipitation and temperature partly affect vegetation coverage in Shaanxi. Gradients and elevation affected the distribution of vegetation coverage and human activities influenced land use type and the ecological environment. In the future, potential degradation risks still exist in the parts of Shaanxi Province.