Cyber risk ordering with rank-based statistical models

被引:0
|
作者
Paolo Giudici
Emanuela Raffinetti
机构
[1] University of Pavia,Department of Economics and Management
[2] Università degli Studi di Milano,Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods
来源
关键词
Cyber attacks; Concordance measures; Operational risks; Ordinal data; Rank regression;
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摘要
In a world that is increasingly connected on-line, cyber risks become critical. Cyber risk management is very difficult, as cyber loss data are typically not disclosed. To mitigate the reputational risks associated with their disclosure, loss data may be collected in terms of ordered severity levels. However, to date, there are no risk models for ordinal cyber data. We fill the gap, proposing a rank-based statistical model aimed at predicting the severity levels of cyber risks. The application of our approach to a real-world case shows that the proposed models are, while statistically sound, simple to implement and interpret.
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页码:469 / 484
页数:15
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