Biophysical and economic limits to negative CO2 emissions

被引:0
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作者
Smith P. [1 ]
Davis S.J. [2 ]
Creutzig F. [3 ,4 ]
Fuss S. [3 ]
Minx J. [3 ,5 ,6 ]
Gabrielle B. [7 ,8 ]
Kato E. [9 ]
Jackson R.B. [10 ]
Cowie A. [11 ]
Kriegler E. [5 ]
Van Vuuren D.P. [12 ,13 ]
Rogelj J. [14 ,15 ]
Ciais P. [16 ]
Milne J. [17 ]
Canadell J.G. [18 ]
McCollum D. [15 ]
Peters G. [19 ]
Andrew R. [19 ]
Krey V. [15 ]
Shrestha G. [20 ]
Friedlingstein P. [17 ]
Gasser T. [16 ,22 ]
Grübler A. [15 ]
Heidug W.K. [23 ]
Jonas M. [15 ]
Jones C.D. [24 ]
Kraxner F. [21 ]
Littleton E. [25 ]
Lowe J. [15 ]
Moreira J.R. [26 ]
Nakicenovic N. [15 ]
Obersteiner M. [15 ]
Patwardhan A. [27 ]
Rogner M. [15 ]
Rubin E. [28 ]
Sharifi A. [29 ]
Torvanger A. [19 ]
Yamagata Y. [30 ]
Edmonds J. [31 ]
Yongsung C. [32 ]
机构
[1] Institute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, 23 St Machar Drive, Aberdeen
[2] University of California, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, 92697-3100, CA
[3] Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change, Torgauer Street 12-15, Berlin
[4] Technical University Berlin, Straße des 17, Berlin
[5] Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), PO Box 60 12 03, Potsdam
[6] Hertie School of Governance, Friedrichstrasse 180, Berlin
[7] AgroParisTech, UMR1402 ECOSYS, Thiverval-Grignon
[8] National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA), Environment and Arable Crops Research Unit, UMR1402 ECOSYS, Thiverval-Grignon
[9] Institute of Applied Energy (IAE), Minato, Tokyo
[10] Department of Earth System Science, Woods Institute for the Environment and Precourt Institute for Energy, Stanford University, Stanford, 94305, CA
[11] NSW Department of Primary Industries, University of New England, Armidale, 2351, NSW
[12] Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development, Department of Environmental Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht
[13] PBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, PO Box 303, Bilthoven
[14] Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH Zürich), Universitätstrasse 16, Zürich
[15] International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Schlossplatz 1, Laxenburg
[16] Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement (LSCE), Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace (IPSL), CEA l'Orme des Merisiers, Gif-sur-Yvette-Cedex
[17] Stanford University, 473 Via Ortega, Stanford, 94305-2205, CA
[18] Global Carbon Project, CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere Research, GPO Box 3023, Canberra, 2601, ACT
[19] Center for International Climate and Environmental Research-Oslo (CICERO), Gaustadalleén 21, Oslo
[20] 0US Carbon Cycle Science Program, US Global Change Research Program, Washington, 20006, DC
[21] University of Exeter, North Park Road, Exeter
[22] Ctr. Intl. de Rech. sur l'Environnement et le Devmt., CNRS-PontsParisTech-EHESS-AgroParisTech-CIRAD, Campus du Jardin Tropical, 45 bis avenue de la Belle Gabrielle, Nogent-sur-Marne-Cedex
[23] King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center, PO Box 88550, Riyadh
[24] Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon
[25] University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich
[26] Institute of Energy and Environment, University of Sao Paulo, Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, Saõ Paulo
[27] University of Maryland, School of Public Policy, 2101 Van Munching Hall, College Park, 20742, MD
[28] Carnegie Mellon University, Baker Hall 128A, Pittsburgh, 15213, PA
[29] Global Carbon Project, Tsukuba International Office, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki
[30] National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba
[31] Pacific Northwest National Laboratory Joint Global Change Research Institute, 5825 University Research Court, College Park, 20740, MD
[32] Korea University, 5-ga, Anam-dong, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul
基金
英国自然环境研究理事会; 美国国家科学基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1038/nclimate2870
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
To have a >50% chance of limiting warming below 2 °C, most recent scenarios from integrated assessment models (IAMs) require large-scale deployment of negative emissions technologies (NETs). These are technologies that result in the net removal of greenhouse gases from the atmosphere. We quantify potential global impacts of the different NETs on various factors (such as land, greenhouse gas emissions, water, albedo, nutrients and energy) to determine the biophysical limits to, and economic costs of, their widespread application. Resource implications vary between technologies and need to be satisfactorily addressed if NETs are to have a significant role in achieving climate goals. © 2015 Macmillan Publishers Limited.
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页码:42 / 50
页数:8
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