Prediction of remission among patients with a major depressive disorder based on the resting-state functional connectivity of emotion regulation networks

The prediction of antidepressant response is critical for psychiatrists to select the initial antidepressant drug for patients with major depressive disorders (MDD). The implicated brain networks supporting emotion regulation (ER) are critical in the pathophysiology of MDD and the prediction of antidepressant response. Therefore, the primary aim of the current study was to identify the neuroimaging biomarkers for the prediction of remission in patients with MDD based on the resting-state functional connectivity (rsFC) of the ER networks. A total of 81 unmedicated adult MDD patients were investigated and they underwent resting-state functional magnetic resonance imagining (fMRI) scans. The patients were treated with escitalopram for 12 weeks. The 17-item Hamilton depression rating scale was used for assessing remission. The 36 seed regions from predefined ER networks were selected and the rsFC matrix was caculated for each participant. The support vector machine algorithm was employed to construct prediction model, which separated the patients with remission from those with non-remission. And leave-one-out cross-validation and the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic were used for evaluating the performance of the model. The accuracy of the prediction model was 82.08% (sensitivity = 71.43%, specificity = 89.74%, AUC = 0.86). The rsFC between the left medial superior frontal gyrus and the right inferior frontal gyrus as well as the precuneus were the features with the highest discrimination ability in predicting remission from escitalopram among the MDD patients. Results from our study demonstrated that rsFC of the ER brain networks are potential predictors for the response of antidepressant drugs. The trial name: appropriate technology study of MDD diagnosis and treatment based on objective indicators and measurement. URL: http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=21377. Registration number: ChiCTR-OOC-17012566.