Population aging and endogenous economic growth

被引:0
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作者
Klaus Prettner
机构
[1] Harvard University,Center for Population and Development Studies
[2] University of Göttingen,Institute for International Economics
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关键词
Demographic change; Technological progress; Long-run economic growth;
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摘要
We investigate the consequences of population aging for long-run economic growth perspectives. Our framework incorporates endogenous growth models and semi-endogenous growth models as special cases. We show that (1) increases in longevity have a positive impact on per capita output growth, (2) decreases in fertility have a negative impact on per capita output growth, (3) the positive longevity effect dominates the negative fertility effect in case of the endogenous growth framework, and (4) population aging fosters long-run growth in the endogenous growth framework, while its effect depends on the relative change between fertility and mortality in the semi-endogenous growth framework.
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页码:811 / 834
页数:23
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