Future trends in incidence and long-term survival of metastatic cancer in the United States

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作者
Nicholas L. Hudock
Kyle Mani
Chachrit Khunsriraksakul
Vonn Walter
Larissa Nekhlyudov
Ming Wang
Eric J. Lehrer
Maria R. Hudock
Dajiang J. Liu
Daniel E. Spratt
Nicholas G. Zaorsky
机构
[1] Penn State Cancer Institute,Department of Radiation Oncology
[2] Penn State College of Medicine,Department of Bioinformatics and Genomics
[3] Albert Einstein School of Medicine,Department of Public Health Sciences
[4] Penn State College of Medicine,Department of Internal Medicine
[5] Penn State College of Medicine,Department of Population and Quantitative Health Sciences
[6] Harvard Medical School,Department of Radiation Oncology
[7] Case Western Reserve University School of Medicine,Department of Biomedical Engineering
[8] Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai,Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons
[9] Columbia University,Department of Radiation Oncology, University Hospitals Seidman Cancer Center
[10] Columbia University,undefined
[11] Case Western Reserve School of Medicine,undefined
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摘要
Cancer that has spread beyond the area where it originated and into different organs is called metastatic cancer. This study analyzed trends in metastatic cancer incidence, the proportion of those with metastatic cancer surviving 5 years after diagnosis and the locations in the body each cancer had spread to. The incidence of metastatic cancer decreased between 1988 and 2018 and is expected to continue to decrease until 2040. Some of the most common locations cancer spreads to is the lung, liver, brain, and bone. Metastatic cancer incidence to these areas is predicted to decrease. Also, the likelihood of surviving for more than 5 years after diagnosis with metastatic cancer is predicted to increase by 2040. This research should facilitate optimal planning of future healthcare resources and policy.
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