Long-Term Prediction of Water Quality in Marine Water Areas

Random walk approach is used to develop a model for long-term prediction of water quality in shallow marine waters. The model allows one to simulate variations in hydrological situations, reactive solutes, interaction between solutes and liquid and solid boundaries. The model application is illustrated by calculations for Amur Bay. Calculations using the long-term prediction model has not found a stationary state in the pollution level. The velocities of seaward motion of pollution front and the rates of increase in the concentration of a nonreactive solute are given.