A hybrid model for stock price prediction based on multi-view heterogeneous data

被引:0
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作者
Wen Long
Jing Gao
Kehan Bai
Zhichen Lu
机构
[1] University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,School of Economics and Management
[2] Chinese Academy of Sciences,Research Center on Fictitious Economy and Data Science
[3] Chinese Academy of Sciences,Key Laboratory of Big Data Mining and Knowledge Management
[4] Beijing Jiaotong University,Department of Mathematics
来源
关键词
Market data; Financial news; Support vector machine; Multi-view learning; Heterogeneous data;
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摘要
Literature shows that both market data and financial media impact stock prices; however, using only one kind of data may lead to information bias. Therefore, this study uses market data and news to investigate their joint impact on stock price trends. However, combining these two types of information is difficult because of their completely different characteristics. This study develops a hybrid model called MVL-SVM for stock price trend prediction by integrating multi-view learning with a support vector machine (SVM). It works by simply inputting heterogeneous multi-view data simultaneously, which may reduce information loss. Compared with the ARIMA and classic SVM models based on single- and multi-view data, our hybrid model shows statistically significant advantages. In the robustness test, our model outperforms the others by at least 10% accuracy when the sliding windows of news and market data are set to 1–5 days, which confirms our model’s effectiveness. Finally, trading strategies based on single stock and investment portfolios are constructed separately, and the simulations show that MVL-SVM has better profitability and risk control performance than the benchmarks.
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