Checking for model failure and for prior-data conflict with the constrained multinomial model

被引:0
|
作者
Berthold-Georg Englert
Michael Evans
Gun Ho Jang
Hui Khoon Ng
David Nott
Yi-Lin Seah
机构
[1] National University of Singapore and MajuLab,Centre for Quantum Technologies, Department of Physics
[2] University of Toronto,Department of Statistical Sciences
[3] Ontario Institute for Cancer Research,Yale
[4] MajuLab,NUS College, Centre for Quantum Technologies
[5] National Unversity of Singapore,Department of Statistics and Applied Probability
[6] Centre for Quantum Technologies,undefined
来源
Metrika | 2021年 / 84卷
关键词
Model checking; Checking for prior-data conflict; Quantum state estimation; Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium; Ordered probabilities; Elicitation;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Multinomial models can be difficult to use when constraints are placed on the probabilities. An exact model checking procedure for such models is developed based on a uniform prior on the full multinomial model. For inference, a nonuniform prior can be used and a consistency theorem is proved concerning a check for prior-data conflict with the chosen prior. Applications are presented and a new elicitation methodology is developed for multinomial models with ordered probabilities.
引用
收藏
页码:1141 / 1168
页数:27
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Checking for model failure and for prior-data conflict with the constrained multinomial model
    Englert, Berthold-Georg
    Evans, Michael
    Jang, Gun Ho
    Ng, Hui Khoon
    Nott, David
    Seah, Yi-Lin
    [J]. METRIKA, 2021, 84 (08) : 1141 - 1168
  • [2] Checking for Prior-Data Conflict
    Evans, Michael
    Moshonov, Hadas
    [J]. BAYESIAN ANALYSIS, 2006, 1 (04): : 893 - 914
  • [3] Using Prior Expansions for Prior-Data Conflict Checking
    Nott, David J.
    Seah, Max
    Al-Labadi, Luai
    Evans, Michael
    Ng, Hui Khoon
    Englert, Berthold-Georg
    [J]. BAYESIAN ANALYSIS, 2021, 16 (01): : 203 - 231
  • [4] Checking for Prior-Data Conflict Using Prior-to-Posterior Divergences
    Nott, David J.
    Wang, Xueou
    Evans, Michael
    Englert, Berthold-Georg
    [J]. STATISTICAL SCIENCE, 2020, 35 (02) : 234 - 253
  • [5] A limit result for the prior predictive applied to checking for prior-data conflict
    Evans, Michael
    Jang, Gun Ho
    [J]. STATISTICS & PROBABILITY LETTERS, 2011, 81 (08) : 1034 - 1038
  • [6] Weakly informative priors and prior-data conflict checking for likelihood-free inference
    Chakraborty, Atlanta
    Nott, David J.
    Evans, Michael
    [J]. STATISTICS AND ITS INTERFACE, 2023, 16 (03) : 445 - 457
  • [7] On Prior-Data Conflict in Predictive Bernoulli Inferences
    Walter, Gero
    Augustin, Thomas
    Coolen, Frank P. A.
    [J]. ISIPTA '11 - PROCEEDINGS OF THE SEVENTH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON IMPRECISE PROBABILITY: THEORIES AND APPLICATIONS, 2011, : 391 - 400
  • [8] Imprecision and Prior-data Conflict in Generalized Bayesian Inference
    Walter, Gero
    Augustin, Thomas
    [J]. JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL THEORY AND PRACTICE, 2009, 3 (01) : 255 - 271
  • [9] System Reliability Estimation under Prior-Data Conflict
    Walter, Gero
    Coolen, Frank P. A.
    Flapper, Simme Douwe
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 9TH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON IMPRECISE PROBABILITY: THEORIES AND APPLICATIONS (ISIPTA '15), 2015, : 350 - 350
  • [10] Sets of Priors Reflecting Prior-Data Conflict and Agreement
    Walter, Gero
    Coolen, Frank P. A.
    [J]. INFORMATION PROCESSING AND MANAGEMENT OF UNCERTAINTY IN KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, IPMU 2016, PT I, 2016, 610 : 153 - 164