The economic Gordian Knot of Brexit: an East and Southeast Asian perspective

被引:0
|
作者
Mario Arturo R.E. [1 ]
Koutronas E. [2 ]
Park D. [3 ]
机构
[1] Social Security Research Centre (SSRC), Centre of Poverty and Development Studies (CPDS), Faculty of Economics and Administration, University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur
[2] School of Management, Universiti Sains Malaysia, George Town, 11800, Penang
[3] Asian Development Bank (ADB), 6 ADB Avenue, Mandaluyong City, 1550, Metro Manila
关键词
Asia; Brexit; Economic modeling; Europe; F1; F3; G1; Policy modeling;
D O I
10.1007/s11135-019-00895-5
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The objective of this paper is to establish conceptual foundations of analyzing the economic dimensions of Brexit. The International Financial-Trade Exchange Leaking Index (TIFTEL-Index) attempts to analyze and compare pre-Brexit versus post-Brexit international trade and international financial transactions between East and Southeast Asia and Europe. TIFTEL-index is based on three main variables, namely (1) international trade exchange marginal rate (∆Τ′), (2) international financial exchange marginal rate (∆σ′), and (3) GDP in real prices growth marginal rate (∆γ). Simulation findings indicate that Brexit will have only a limited negative effect on the world economy. In addition, Brexit will affect East Asia more than Southeast Asia region. © 2019, Springer Nature B.V.
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页码:2797 / 2820
页数:23
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