Quantifying uncertainties associated with depth duration frequency curves

被引:0
|
作者
Majid Mirzaei
Yuk Feng Huang
Teang Shui Lee
Ahmed El-Shafie
Abdul Halim Ghazali
机构
[1] Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia,Faculty of Engineering and Built Environment
[2] Universiti Tuanku Abdul Rahman,Faculty of Engineering and Science
[3] Universiti Putra Malaysia,Faculty of Engineering
来源
Natural Hazards | 2014年 / 71卷
关键词
Uncertainty analysis; Depth duration frequency curves; Generalized extreme value distribution; Bootstrap sampling;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Uncertainty in depth–duration–frequency (DDF) curves is usually disregarded in the view of difficulties associated in assigning a value to it. In central Iran, precipitation duration is often long and characterized with low intensity leading to a considerable uncertainty in the parameters of the probabilistic distributions describing rainfall depth. In this paper, the daily rainfall depths from 4 stations in the Zayanderood basin, Iran, were analysed, and a generalized extreme value distribution was fitted to the maximum yearly rainfall for durations of 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 days. DDF curves were described as a function of rainfall duration (D) and return period (T). Uncertainties of the rainfall depth in the DDF curves were estimated with the bootstrap sampling method and were described by a normal probability density function. Standard deviations were modeled as a function of rainfall duration and rainfall depth using 104 bootstrap samples for all the durations and return periods considered for each rainfall station.
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页码:1227 / 1239
页数:12
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