Regional long-term forecasts: A synthesis of technological and economic approaches

被引:0
|
作者
Vlasyuk L.I. [1 ]
Minakir P.A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Economic Research Institute, Far Eastern Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Khabarovsk
基金
俄罗斯基础研究基金会;
关键词
RUSSIAN Economic Development; Forecast Period; Gross Regional Product; Term Forecast; Macroeconomic Indicator;
D O I
10.1134/S1075700713020135
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
The paper describes a long-term two-scenario forecast of the economy of the Far East, compiled as a synthesis of scientific-technological and general economic approaches, using a modeling program complex. The paper presents the results of probabilistic systemic transformations in the region's economic and social environment for as long as until 2050. The forecast was based on a scientific and technological foresight and evaluations of scenarios of the dynamics of general economic parameters. © 2013 Pleiades Publishing, Ltd.
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页码:99 / 107
页数:8
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