Continued increase of extreme El Niño frequency long after 1.5 °C warming stabilization

被引:0
|
作者
Guojian Wang
Wenju Cai
Bolan Gan
Lixin Wu
Agus Santoso
Xiaopei Lin
Zhaohui Chen
Michael J. McPhaden
机构
[1] Physical Oceanography Laboratory/CIMST,
[2] Ocean University of China and Qingdao National Laboratory for Marine Science and Technology,undefined
[3] Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR),undefined
[4] CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere,undefined
[5] Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate System Science,undefined
[6] NOAA/Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory,undefined
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D O I
10.1038/nclimate3351
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学科分类号
摘要
CMIP5 simulations reveal that the frequency of extreme El Niño events doubles under the 1.5 °C Paris target, and continues to increase long after global temperatures stabilize due to emission reductions. Extreme La Niña events, however, see little change at either 1.5 °C or 2 °C warming.
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页码:568 / 572
页数:4
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