Spatiotemporal analysis of COVID-19 outbreaks in Wuhan, China

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作者
Wei Liu
Dongming Wang
Shuiqiong Hua
Cong Xie
Bin Wang
Weihong Qiu
Tao Xu
Zi Ye
Linling Yu
Meng Yang
Yang Xiao
Xiaobing Feng
Tingming Shi
Mingyan Li
Weihong Chen
机构
[1] Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, School of Public Health, Tongji Medical College
[2] Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Key Laboratory of Environment and Health, Ministry of Education and Ministry of Environmental Protection, and State Key Laboratory of Environmental Health (Incubating), School of Public Health, Tongji Medical C
[3] Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Institute of Preventive Medicine Information
[4] Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention,Division of Human Resources, Science and Education
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摘要
Few study has revealed spatial transmission characteristics of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China. We aimed to analyze the spatiotemporal spread of COVID-19 in Wuhan and its influence factors. Information of 32,682 COVID-19 cases reported through March 18 were extracted from the national infectious disease surveillance system. Geographic information system methods were applied to analysis transmission of COVID-19 and its influence factors in different periods. We found decrease in effective reproduction number (Rt) and COVID-19 related indicators through taking a series of effective public health measures including restricting traffic, centralized quarantine and strict stay-at home policy. The distribution of COVID-19 cases number in Wuhan showed obvious global aggregation and local aggregation. In addition, the analysis at streets-level suggested population density and the number of hospitals were associated with COVID-19 cases number. The epidemic situation showed obvious global and local spatial aggregations. High population density with larger number of hospitals may account for the aggregations. The epidemic in Wuhan was under control in a short time after strong quarantine measures and restrictions on movement of residents were implanted.
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