Quantifying the likelihood of a continued hiatus in global warming

被引：0
|
作者：
C. D. Roberts
M. D. Palmer
D. McNeall
M. Collins
机构：
[1] Met Office Hadley Centre,
[2] University of Exeter,undefined
来源：
Nature Climate Change | 2015年 / 5卷
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学科分类号：
摘要：
The probability of a hiatus in global warming is calculated, with a 10-year event having a probability of ∼10%, but a 20-year event less than 1%. The current 15-year event is found to have up to 25% chance of continuing for another 5 years.
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页码：337 / 342
页数：5
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