Macro-Finance

被引:130
|
作者
Cochrane, John H. [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ,5 ,6 ]
机构
[1] Stanford Univ, Hoover Inst, Stanford, CA 94305 USA
[2] NBER, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
[3] Stanford GSB & SIEPR, Stanford, CA USA
[4] Univ Chicago, Booth Sch Business, Chicago, IL 60637 USA
[5] Becker Friedman Inst, Chicago, IL USA
[6] Cato Inst, Washington, DC 20003 USA
关键词
Macro-finance; Equity premium; Volatility; LONG-RUN RISK; TIME-VARYING RISK; CROSS-SECTION; EXPECTED RETURNS; RARE DISASTERS; STOCK RETURNS; HABIT FORMATION; TERM STRUCTURE; CONSUMPTION; DIVIDENDS;
D O I
10.1093/rof/rfx010
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Macro-finance addresses the link between asset prices and economic fluctuations. Many models reflect the same rough idea: the market's ability to bear risk is greater in good times, and less in bad times. Models achieve this similar result by quite different mechanisms. I contrast their strengths and weaknesses. I highlight directions for future research, including additional facts to be matched, and limitations of the models that should prod future theoretical work. I describe how macro-finance models can fundamentally alter macroeconomics, by putting time-varying risk premiums and risk-bearing capacity at the center of recessions rather than variation in the interest rate and intertemporal substitution.
引用
收藏
页码:945 / 985
页数:41
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