The association between heart failure and incident cancer in women: an analysis of the Women's Health Initiative

Aims There is conflicting evidence whether heart failure (HF) is a risk factor for incident cancer. Despite population-based cohorts demonstrating this association, an analysis of the Physician's Health Study found no association in a cohort of mostly healthy males. We investigated the association of HF with incident cancer among a large cohort of post-menopausal women. Methods and results A prospective cohort study of 146 817 post-menopausal women age 50 to 79 years enrolled in the Women's Health Initiative from 1993-1998, and followed through 2015. The primary exposure was adjudicated incident HF diagnosis, including preserved and reduced ejection fraction in a sub-cohort. The primary outcome was adjudicated incident total and site-specific cancers. Hazard ratios were calculated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard regression models. Over a median follow-up of 8.4 years, 3272 and 17 474 women developed HF and cancer, respectively. HF developed in 235 women prior to cancer. HF was associated with subsequent incident cancer [hazard ratio (HR) 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.11-1.48]. Associations were observed for obesity-related cancers (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.02-1.51), as well as lung and colorectal cancers (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.09-2.30 and HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.02-2.27, respectively). HF with preserved ejection fraction (HR 1.34, 95% CI 1.06-1.67), but not HF reduced ejection fraction (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.74-1.34), was associated with total cancer. Conclusion Heart failure was associated with an increase in cancer diagnoses in post-menopausal women. This association was strongest for lung cancer. Further research is needed to appreciate the underlying mechanisms responsible for this association.