Capacity expansion in transmission networks using portfolios of real options

被引:11
|
作者
Loureiro, Manuel V. [1 ,3 ]
Claro, Joao [1 ]
Pereira, Paulo J. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Porto, Fac Engn, INESC TEC, P-4200465 Oporto, Portugal
[2] Univ Porto, Fac Econ, CEF UP, P-4200464 Oporto, Portugal
[3] Carnegie Mellon Univ, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 USA
关键词
Transmission network planning; Portfolios of real options; Capacity expansion; PROGRAMMING APPROACH; RISK; UNCERTAINTY;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijepes.2014.07.047
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
We adopt in this paper a perspective of portfolios of real options, to propose a mixed integer linear programming model for multistage Transmission Network Expansion Planning. The model is then used to analyze three fundamental network building blocks - an independent design, a radial design, and a meshed design - seeking to develop network design insights, in particular regarding the joint value of postponement and other sources of operational flexibility. The results clearly point to the importance of explicitly incorporating uncertainty, adopting a multistage perspective, and addressing complex interactions between different sources of flexibility, in the design of transmission networks. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
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页码:439 / 446
页数:8
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