Electricity Price Forecasting Using Neural Network with Parameter Selection

被引:2
|
作者
Ibrahim, Nik Nur Atira Nik [1 ]
Razak, Intan Azmira Wan Abdul [2 ]
Sidin, Siti Syakirah Mohd [1 ]
Bohari, Zul Hasrizal [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tekn Malaysia Melaka UTeM, Fac Elect Engn, Malacca, Malaysia
[2] Univ Tekn Malaysia Melaka UTeM, Ctr Robot & Ind Automat CeRIA, Fac Elect Engn, Ind Power Dept, Malacca, Malaysia
[3] Univ Tekn Malaysia Melaka UTeM, Fac Engn Technol, Malacca, Malaysia
来源
关键词
Electricity price forecasting; Input feature; Neural network; Short-term forecast; MODEL; MARKET;
D O I
10.1007/978-981-13-6031-2_33
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
Price forecasting acts as an essential position in the current energy industry as to assist the independent generators in putting on a remarkable bidding system and scheming contracts, and helps with the selection of supply on the advance generation facility in the long term. These electricity prices are usually hard to predict as it always depends on the uncertainty factors which results in severe volatility or even spikes of price in the energy market. Therefore, determining the accuracy of electricity price forecasting had become an even more important task as there are often remains some crucial prices volatility in the electric power market. This approach focuses on the parameter selection (hidden neuron, learning rate, and momentum rate) and the selection of input data for three types of model. By using the appropriate parameters and inputs, the accuracy of the prediction can be improved. This approach is expected to provide market participants a better bidding strategy and will be used to boost profits in the energy markets using the artificial neural network.
引用
收藏
页码:141 / 148
页数:8
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