A Study on the Equilibrium of Regional Industrial Spatial Distribution based on Grey Prediction Model

This paper discusses the industrial space layout optimization under different TFP evolutionary paths simulated by grey prediction models. We construct a simulation and analysis model about the progress of regional industrial layout adjustment in project level. On the basis of the model, we analyze the economic-ecology balance of the regional industrial space layout. The results show that the short-term evolution trends of the TFP of Chinese industries are more along the path of traditional GM (1, 1) model. The economic and ecological balance of regional industrial space layout is in the reasonable range under this path, while the regional economic-ecology balance is greatly improved under the TFP evolution path provided by the grey Versulst model.