Individual farm exit decisions in Croatian family farms

Successful structural change in agriculture depends on several preconditions, some of which are only indirectly linked to the farming sector. The rural non-farm economy is known as one important driver of structural change because it offers alternative employment. However, little is known about the factors that influence farm exit decisions. Based on a recent household survey of Croatian family farms, we analyse individual employment decisions of farm household members by taking a prospective look at developments to come in the medium term. We find that mixed activities and part-time farming will be at the core of expected future developments. A cumulative logit regression model is employed, showing that steps toward individual farm exit are least likely for elderly people and for those in households that are particularly successful in farming. Individual exit is more likely for better-off households. Generally, we find that there is a clear trend toward non-farm employment for individuals, but there are hardly any indications that this leads to final abandonment of the farm.