Integrated assessment and division management of sustainable development in the Belt and Road countries

被引:2
|
作者
Fang, Kai [1 ,2 ]
Xu, Anqi [1 ]
He, Jianjian [1 ]
Fang, Chuanglin [3 ]
Liu, Qingyan [1 ]
机构
[1] Zhejiang Univ, Sch Publ Affairs, Hangzhou 310058, Peoples R China
[2] Zhejiang Univ, Ctr Social Welf & Governance, Hangzhou 310058, Peoples R China
[3] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
来源
CHINESE SCIENCE BULLETIN-CHINESE | 2021年 / 66卷 / 19期
关键词
Belt and Road; Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs); environmental footprint; planetary boundaries; environmental sustainability; multi-regional input-output; SAFE OPERATING SPACE; DEVELOPMENT GOALS; PLANETARY BOUNDARIES; CONSUMPTION; FOOTPRINTS;
D O I
10.1360/TB-2020-0447
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
With 17 goals, 169 targets and 232 indicators, the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) proposed by the United Nations in late 2015 have provided the global community with an elaborate and concrete guidance for international collaboration in improving human well-being while safeguarding long-term global sustainability. However, the complexity and interactions between social, economic and environmental goals remain largely unexplored. This paper aims at making a contribution to filling in this knowledge gap by examining the relationship between environmental sustainability and socio-economic SDGs in the Belt and Road (B&R) region, where many countries are experiencing rapid urbanization and facing severe resource constrains and environmental challenges, such as water scarcity, land degradation, climate change and eutrophication. To that end, this paper accounts for the water, land, carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus footprints of 65 B&R countries in 2015 by employing a global multi-regional input-output (MRIO) model, compares them with downscaled environmental boundaries, and assesses the corresponding environmental sustainability deficit index (ESDI) of all the B&R countries. Moreover, a set of socio-economic indicators chosen from the SDGs dashboard are employed to measure the progress of social development and economic growth in each B&R country using principal component analysis. Furthermore, spatial econometric models are adopted to capture the trade-offs and synergies between environmental sustainability and socioeconomic SDGs. Further discussion is raised on the geospatial division management plan for sustainable development in the B&R region. We find that: (1) The total and per capita environmental footprints in the B&R region show strong spatial heterogeneity, and the land, carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus footprints of most countries have exceeded their corresponding environmental boundaries, showing significant spatial autocorrelation (P<0.01). (2) Socio-economic SDGs related to basic human needs, such as SDG 1 (no poverty) and SDG 3 (good health and well-being), have been fulfilled to large extent while the SDGs like SDG 8 (decent work and economic growth) and SDG 12 (responsible consumption and production) are in urgent need of improvement. (3) The relationships between environmental sustainability and socio-economic SDGs is complicated; that is, goals that have synergies with ESDI can be priorities for SDGs, including SDG 1 (no poverty), SDG 2 (zero hunger), SDG 6 (clean water and sanitation), SDG 9 (industry, innovation and infrastructure), SDG 10 (reduced inequalities) and SDG 11 (sustainable cities and communities). By contrast, goals including SDG 8 (decent work and economic growth), SDG 12 (responsible consumption and production), SDG 16 (peace, justice and powerful institutions) and SDG 17 (partnerships for the goals) show trade-offs with ESDI and therefore should be implemented with caution to avoid potential ecological and environmental risks. For indicators within SDG 5 (gender equality) that counteract the reduction in ESDI, policy actions should be taken to increase synergies and decrease trade-offs. (4) Four types of sustainable development zones are identified on the basis of national environmental sustainability and the SDGs progress: green pilot zone, key development zone, green transformation zone, and risk prevention zone. There is a great need for common but differentiated policies in support of B&R's division management. The research findings are expected not only to bring transparency to the complicated relationship between various SDGs and environmental sustainability, but also to assist policy makers with formulating integrated policies for achieving the SDGs and building the green B&R.
引用
收藏
页码:2441 / 2454
页数:14
相关论文
共 49 条
  • [1] Indicator-based assessments of progress towards the sustainable development goals (SDGs): a case study from the Arab region
    Allen, Cameron
    Nejdawi, Reem
    El-Baba, Jana
    Hamati, Kamil
    Metternicht, Graciela
    Wiedmann, Thomas
    [J]. SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE, 2017, 12 (06) : 975 - 989
  • [2] [Anonymous], 2012, Oxfam Policy Practical Climate Change Resilence
  • [3] [Anonymous], 2015, ACTA ECOL SIN, DOI [10.1360/TB-2020-0447, DOI 10.1360/TB-2020-0447]
  • [4] [Anonymous], 1992, ENVIRON URBAN, DOI DOI 10.1177/095624789200400212
  • [5] Quantile local spatial autocorrelation
    Anselin, Luc
    [J]. LETTERS IN SPATIAL AND RESOURCE SCIENCES, 2019, 12 (02) : 155 - 166
  • [6] Environmental challenges for the Belt and Road Initiative
    Ascensao, Fernando
    Fahrig, Lenore
    Clevenger, Anthony P.
    Corlett, Richard T.
    Jaeger, Jochen A. G.
    Laurance, William F.
    Pereira, Henrique M.
    [J]. NATURE SUSTAINABILITY, 2018, 1 (05): : 206 - 209
  • [7] Global governance by goal-setting: the novel approach of the UN Sustainable Development Goals
    Biermann, Frank
    Kanie, Norichika
    Kim, Rakhyun E.
    [J]. CURRENT OPINION IN ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY, 2017, 26-27 : 26 - 31
  • [8] [陈先鹏 Chen Xianpeng], 2020, [自然资源学报, Journal of Natural Resources], V35, P513
  • [9] Spatiotemporal dynamics of carbon intensity from energy consumption in China
    Cheng Yeqing
    Wang Zheye
    Ye Xinyue
    Wei, Yehua Dennis
    [J]. JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL SCIENCES, 2014, 24 (04) : 631 - 650
  • [10] Spatial variability in sustainable development trajectories in South Africa: provincial level safe and just operating spaces
    Cole, Megan J.
    Bailey, Richard M.
    New, Mark G.
    [J]. SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE, 2017, 12 (05) : 829 - 848