Is there a J-curve effect in Turkish services?

被引:4
|
作者
Yazici, Mehmet [1 ]
机构
[1] Cankaya Univ, Dept Int Trade, TR-06530 Balgat Ankara, Turkey
关键词
J-curve; Trade balance; Exchange rate; Turkish services sector; Almon lag structure; TRADE BALANCE; DEVALUATION; LDCS;
D O I
10.1007/s11135-009-9268-1
中图分类号
C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ;
摘要
This paper explores the existence of the J-curve effect in Turkish services. The model of Bahmani-Oskooee (Rev Econ Stat 67:500-504, 1985), one of the most commonly employed model in the j-curve literature, is adopted. Using quarterly data from 1986: I to 1998: III, we find that, as a result of real depreciation of Turkish currency, YTL, services trade balance initially improves, then worsens and improves again in the short run. This is a pattern indicating that J-curve effect does not exist in Turkish services sector. We also find that depreciation of Turkish Lira improves the trade balance of the sector in the long run, a result consistent with earlier findings for the whole Turkish economy.
引用
收藏
页码:167 / 172
页数:6
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