Sea-Ice Concentration Multivariate Assimilation for the Canadian East Coast in a Coupled Sea Ice-Ocean Model

被引:2
|
作者
Katavouta, Anna [1 ]
Myers, Paul G. [2 ]
机构
[1] Dalhousie Univ, Dept Oceanog, Halifax, NS, Canada
[2] Univ Alberta, Dept Earth & Atmospher Sci, Edmonton, AB, Canada
关键词
data assimilation; sea-ice concentration; sea ice-ocean coupled model; Canadian East Coast; NEWFOUNDLAND SHELF; INITIALIZATION; SALINITY; LABRADOR;
D O I
10.1080/07055900.2014.954096
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The present study focuses on the impact of ocean state (i.e., salinity and temperature) updates on the sea-ice analysis and short-term forecast in an assimilative sea ice-ocean coupled system. A relatively simple sea-ice assimilation scheme was applied to the sea ice-ocean coupled North Atlantic Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean (NEMO) system with a focus on the Canadian East Coast. In this assimilation scheme the ocean state was updated directly based on the correlations between the model's sea-ice concentration and the upper ocean salinity and temperature. These correlations were based on a limited time ensemble generated by applying random perturbations to the atmospheric forcing fields. High deviations in the sea-ice conditions were found along the ice edge, implying that the sea-ice edge position is sensitive to small atmospheric forcing variations. Assimilation runs with and without ocean state updates (i.e., sea-ice concentration nudging) were conducted and compared for the winter of 2002. Both continuous and intermittent assimilation schemes were examined. In a continuous sea-ice assimilation experiment, the ocean direct update is unnecessary. When the sea-ice updates are introduced intermittently the ocean state has to be altered to accommodate them, or they will be rapidly diminished by the model's dynamics. The correlations between sea-ice concentration and ocean salinity and temperature based on the first 15 days of January were used for corrections during the entire winter season when, in addition to thermodynamic processes, dynamic processes are responsible for, and even dominate, sea-ice evolution on the Labrador and Newfoundland shelves. This was an adequate choice as was demonstrated by the results of the study which showed that the experiments with ocean state adjustments generated more accurate short-term sea-ice forecasts. Resume[Traduit par la redaction] La presente etude examine l'impact des mises a jour de l'etat de la mer (c.-a-d. salinite et temperature) sur l'analyse et la prevision a court terme de la glace de mer dans un systeme assimilatif couple glace de mer-ocean. Nous avons applique un schema d'assimilation de la glace de mer assez simple au systeme couple glace de mer-ocean NEMO (North Atlantic Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) en nous interessant plus particulierement a la cote est du Canada. Dans ce schema d'assimilation, l'etat de la mer etait mis a jour directement a partir des correlations de la concentration de la glace de mer du modele avec la temperature et la salinite de la couche superieure de l'ocean. Ces correlations etaient basees sur un ensemble chronologique limite obtenu en appliquant des perturbations aleatoires aux champs de forcage atmospherique. Nous avons trouve de grands ecarts dans les conditions glacielles le long de la lisiere des glaces, ce qui implique que la position de la lisiere des glaces est sensible a de petites variations du forcage atmospherique. Nous avons execute et compare des passes d'assimilation avec et sans mises a jour de l'etat de la mer (c.-a-d. un poussage de la concentration de la glace de mer) pour l'hiver 2002. Nous avons examine des schemas d'assimilation continus et des schemas d'assimilation intermittents. Dans une experience d'assimilation continue de la glace de mer, la mise a jour directe de l'ocean n'est pas necessaire. Quand les mises a jour de la glace de mer sont introduites de facon intermittente, l'etat de la mer doit etre modifie en consequence sinon elles seront rapidement attenuees par la dynamique du modele. Nous avons utilise les correlations de la concentration de la glace de mer avec la salinite et la temperature de l'ocean basees sur les 15 premiers jours de janvier pour appliquer des corrections durant la saison d'hiver entiere quand, en plus des processus thermodynamiques, des processus dynamiques influencent l'evolution de la glace de mer, ou meme en sont le facteur predominant, sur les plateaux continentaux du Labrador et de Terre-Neuve. Cela s'est avere un choix adequat, comme en font foi les resultats de l'etude qui montrent que les experiences avec ajustements de l'etat de la mer ont mene a des previsions a court terme de la glace de mer plus precises.
引用
收藏
页码:418 / 433
页数:16
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