Macroeconomic news;
Volatility;
International equity markets;
Information;
PRICES;
IMPACT;
BOND;
D O I:
10.1016/j.pacfin.2009.03.003
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
I use a new comprehensive dataset to analyze the impact of ten U.S. and six Japanese macroeconomic announcements on stock market volatility in Japan, Hong Kong, South-Korea and Australia. A GARCH model that allows for multiplicative announcement effects and asymmetries is employed. Overnight conditional variances are significantly higher on announcement days and significantly lower on days before and after announcements, especially for U.S. news. The impact of announcements on implied volatilities, in contrast, is much weaker. Out-of-sample trading strategies that systematically buy delta-neutral straddles on announcement days generate statistically significant profits, but these disappear after transaction costs are taken into account. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机构:
Mayer Brown JSM, 16th 19th Floors,Princes Bldg,10 Chater Rd Cent, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaMayer Brown JSM, 16th 19th Floors,Princes Bldg,10 Chater Rd Cent, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
机构:
Mayer Brown JSM, 16th-19th Floors,Princes Bldg,10 Chater Rd Cent, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaMayer Brown JSM, 16th-19th Floors,Princes Bldg,10 Chater Rd Cent, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China