On the newsvendor model with conditional Value-at-Risk of opportunity loss

被引:28
|
作者
Xu, Xinsheng [1 ,2 ,4 ]
Meng, Zhiqing [3 ]
Ji, Ping [4 ]
Dang, Chuangyin [5 ]
Wang, Hongwei [1 ]
机构
[1] Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Inst Syst Engn, Key Lab Image Proc & Intelligent Control, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
[2] Binzhou Univ, Dept Math & Informat Sci, Binzhou, Peoples R China
[3] Zhejiang Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Management, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, Peoples R China
[4] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Ind & Syst Engn, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
[5] City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Syst Engn & Engn Management, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
关键词
opportunity loss; optimal order quantity; inventory; conditional Value-at-Risk; PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION; OPTIMAL DECISIONS; CVAR; ALLOCATION; REGRET;
D O I
10.1080/00207543.2015.1100765
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
To manage the risk arising from uncertainty in market demand, this paper introduces the Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) measure into the decision framework of the newsvendor who aims to minimise his opportunity loss. It is found under the CVaR measure that the newsvendor's optimal order quantity is increasing in the confidence level when the understock loss is bigger than the overstock loss. This implies that an over-ordering may be even more caused by the newsvendor's risk aversion about opportunity loss than risk seeking behaviour. Under this optimal order quantity, it is proved that the newsvendor's expected profit and expected opportunity loss are decreasing and increasing in the confidence level, respectively. Furthermore, some management insights are presented to facilitate the risk management of the newsvendor model.
引用
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页码:2449 / 2458
页数:10
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