The prognostic value of the CHA2DS2-VASc score in coronary collateral circulation and long-term mortality in coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is used to determine thromboembolic risk in cases of atrial fibrillation. The predictive value of this score in predicting coronary collateral circulation in chronic total occlusion is unknown. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate the relationship between the CHA2DS2-VASc score and coronary collateral circulation in patients with chronic total occlusion. METHODS: A total of 189 patients, who underwent coronary angiography and had a chronic total occlusion in at least one coronary artery, were enrolled in this study. The Rentrop scoring system was used for grouping the patients, and patients were classified as having poorly developed coronary collateral circulation (Rentrop grade 0 or 1) or well-developed coronary collateral circulation (Rentrop grade 2 or 3). RESULTS: The CHA2DS2-VASc score of the good coronary collateral circulation group was significantly lower than the other group (3.1 +/- 1.7 vs. 3.7 +/- 1.7, p=0.021). During the follow-up period, 30 (32.2%) patients in the poorly developed coronary collateral circulation group and 16 (16.7%) patients in the well-developed coronary collateral circulation group died (p=0.028). According to the multivariable Cox regression model, the CHA2DS2-VASc score [hazard ratio (HR): 1.262, p=0.009], heart rate (HR: 1.049, p=0.003), LVEF (HR: 0.975, p=0.039), mean platelet volume (HR: 1.414, p=0.028), and not taking acetylsalicylic acid during admission (HR: 0.514, p=0.042) were independently associated with a higher risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The CHA2DS2-VASc score is closely related to coronary collateral development and predicts mortality in patients with chronic total occlusion.