Human Beings and Climate

被引:0
|
作者
Avanesov, G. A. [1 ]
Mikhailov, M. V. [2 ]
机构
[1] Russian Acad Sci, Space Res Inst, Moscow 117997, Russia
[2] Korolev Rocket & Space Corp Energiya, Korolev 141070, Moscow Oblast, Russia
关键词
Keywords; Earth; Sun; orbit; precession; eccentricity; incoming radiation; climate; Milankovitch cycles; global warming; ice age;
D O I
10.1134/S0010952522700010
中图分类号
V [航空、航天];
学科分类号
08 ; 0825 ;
摘要
Paleontological studies of the distant past and historical chronicles of the last millennia indicate that warming and cooling of the climate on our planet, replacing each other, have taken place in a continuous series. An important role in this process has been and is played by cosmic factors: variations in solar activity and parameters of the Earth's orbital motion in the gravitational field of the Sun and the planets of the Solar System. It is suggested that the currently observed climate change is associated with a decrease in the eccentricity of the Earth's orbit and the inclination of the axis of its rotation relative to the plane of the ecliptic, which has been going on for almost 30 thousand years. Both processes lead to changes in the boundaries of climatic zones. In the foreseeable future, these processes will proceed in the same direction. Therefore, the current trend towards climate change will continue. Despite the importance of addressing the problem of reducing greenhouse-gas emissions as soon as possible, this paper expresses doubts about the possibility of fending off climate warming in this way. It is proposed to focus on the development of mathematical climate models taking into account space factors and on finding the best ways to adapt industry, transport systems, and the environment to the conditions of expected climate change.
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页码:S1 / S9
页数:9
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