Tsunami Hazard Assessment on the Egyptian Coast of the Mediterranean

被引：2
|
作者：
Zaytsev, A. I. [1 ,2 ]
Babeyko, A. Yu. [3 ]
Kurkin, A. A. [1 ]
Yalciner, A. C. [4 ]
Pelinovsky, E. N. [5 ,6 ,7 ]
机构：
[1] Nizhnii Novgorod State Tech Univ, Nizhnii Novgorod 603950, Russia
[2] Russian Acad Sci, Special Res Bur Automat Marine Res, Far East Branch, Yuzhno Sakhalinsk 693023, Russia
[3] GFZ German Res Ctr Geosci, D-14473 Potsdam, Germany
[4] Middle East Tech Univ, Bldng K5-014, TR-06800 Ankara, Turkey
[5] Russian Acad Sci, Fed Res Ctr Inst Appl Phys, Nizhnii Novgorod 603950, Russia
[6] Natl Res Univ Higher Sch Econ, Moscow 101000, Russia
[7] Univ Southern Queensland, West St, Toowoomba, Qld 4350, Australia
来源：
IZVESTIYA ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC PHYSICS | 2019年 / 55卷 / 05期
基金：
俄罗斯基础研究基金会;
关键词：
tsunami; long-term forecast; PTHA method; shallow-water equations; numerical modelling of tsunami propagation; Mediterranean; Egypt; ERUPTION; HARBOR; SEA;
D O I：
10.1134/S000143381905013X
中图分类号：
P4 [大气科学（气象学）];
学科分类号：
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要：
Tsunami forecast possibilities for areas with a small base of historical tsunamis have been discussed using the Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Assessment (PTHA) method, which is based on a statistical analysis of a sufficiently large number of real and predictive earthquakes with a subsequent calculation of possible tsunami waves. This method has been used for a long-term tsunami hazard assessment on the Mediterranean coast of Egypt. The predicted wave heights have been shown to vary along the coastline due to the inhomogeneity of the coastal topography and specific features of the tsunami radiation pattern in the sea. The predicted wave heights for 1000 years vary in the range between 0.8 and 3.4 m.
引用
收藏
页码：462 / 469
页数：8
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