Bayesian modeling of multivariate time series of counts

被引:1
|
作者
Soyer, Refik [1 ]
Zhang, Di [1 ]
机构
[1] George Washington Univ, Dept Decis Sci, Funger Hall 415, Washington, DC 20052 USA
关键词
dynamic latent factors; INAR processes; multivariate negative binomial; multivariate Poisson; non-Gaussian state space modeling; PRESCRIPTION COUNTS; TEMPORAL PATTERNS; COMPETING DRUGS; CRASH COUNTS; DISTRIBUTIONS; REGRESSION;
D O I
10.1002/wics.1559
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In this article, we present an overview of recent advances in Bayesian modeling and analysis of multivariate time series of counts. We discuss basic modeling strategies including integer valued autoregressive processes, multivariate Poisson time series and dynamic latent factor models. In so doing, we make a connection with univariate modeling frameworks such as dynamic generalized models, Poisson state space models with gamma evolution and present Bayesian approaches that extend these frameworks to multivariate setting. During our development, recent Bayesian approaches to the analysis of integer valued autoregressive processes and multivariate Poisson models are highlighted and concepts such as "decouple/recouple" and "common random environment" are presented. The role that these concepts play in Bayesian modeling and analysis of multivariate time series are discussed. Computational issues associated with Bayesian inference and forecasting from these models are also considered. This article is categorized under: Statistical and Graphical Methods of Data Analysis > Bayesian Methods and Theory Statistical Models > Time Series Models
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页数:18
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