Sudden infant death or murder? A royal confusion about probabilities

被引：2
|
作者：
Sesardic, Neven [1 ]
机构：
[1] Lingnan Univ, Dept Philosophy, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
来源：
BRITISH JOURNAL FOR THE PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE | 2007年 / 58卷 / 02期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1093/bjps/axm015
中图分类号：
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号：
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要：
In this article I criticize the recommendations of some prominent statisticians about how to estimate and compare probabilities of the repeated sudden infant death and repeated murder. The issue has drawn considerable public attention in connection with several recent court cases in the UK. I try to show that when the three components of the Bayesian inference are carefully analyzed in this context, the advice of the statisticians turns out to be problematic in each of the steps.
引用
收藏
页码：299 / 329
页数：31
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