A Method for Constructing Informative Priors for Bayesian Modeling of Occupational Hygiene Data

被引:14
|
作者
Quick, Harrison [1 ]
Tran Huynh [2 ]
Ramachandran, Gurumurthy [3 ]
机构
[1] Drexel Univ, Dept Epidemiol & Biostat, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[2] Drexel Univ, Dept Environm & Occupat Hlth, Philadelphia, PA 19104 USA
[3] Johns Hopkins Univ, Dept Environm Hlth & Engn, Baltimore, MD 21205 USA
关键词
decision making; hierarchical modeling; prior sample size; sparse data; truncated priors; ADVANCED REACH TOOL; PRIOR DISTRIBUTIONS; EXPOSURE;
D O I
10.1093/annweh/wxw001
中图分类号
R1 [预防医学、卫生学];
学科分类号
1004 ; 120402 ;
摘要
In many occupational hygiene settings, the demand for more accurate, more precise results is at odds with limited resources. To combat this, practitioners have begun using Bayesian methods to incorporate prior information into their statistical models in order to obtain more refined inference from their data. This is not without risk, however, as incorporating prior information that disagrees with the information contained in data can lead to spurious conclusions, particularly if the prior is too informative. In this article, we propose a method for constructing informative prior distributions for normal and lognormal data that are intuitive to specify and robust to bias. To demonstrate the use of these priors, we walk practitioners through a step-by-step implementation of our priors using an illustrative example. We then conclude with recommendations for general use.
引用
收藏
页码:67 / 75
页数:9
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