Oil shocks and equity markets: The case of GCC and BRICS economies

被引:60
|
作者
Umar, Zaghum [1 ,2 ]
Trabelsi, Nader [3 ,4 ]
Zaremba, Adam [5 ,6 ,7 ]
机构
[1] Zayed Univ, Coll Business, POB 144534, Abu Dhabi, U Arab Emirates
[2] South Ural State Univ, Lenin Prospect 76, Chelyabinsk 454080, Russia
[3] Imam Mohammad Ibn Saud Islamic Univ IMSIU, Coll Econ & Adm Sci, Dept Finance & Investment, POB 5701, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
[4] Univ Kairouan, Lartige, Tunisia
[5] Montpellier Business Sch, 2300 Ave Moulins, F-34185 Montpellier 4, France
[6] Univ Montpellier, Montpellier Res Management, Montpellier, France
[7] Poznan Univ Econ & Business, Inst Finance, Dept Investment & Financial Markets, Al Niepodleglosci 10, PL-61875 Poznan, Poland
关键词
Oil shocks; Equity markets; GCC; BRICS; Connectedness; PRICE SHOCKS; STOCK MARKETS; VOLATILITY SPILLOVERS; CRUDE-OIL; RETURNS; IMPACT; DEMAND; ENERGY; CONNECTEDNESS; DEPENDENCE;
D O I
10.1016/j.eneco.2021.105155
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This study analyzes the relationship between oil shocks and the equity markets of a group of world major oil producers and consumers encompassing both the GCC and BRICS economies. We employ a novel framework to decompose the oil shocks (demand, supply, and risk shocks) into their daily components. Subsequently, we also employ a network connectedness approach to investigate the static and time-varying connectedness of these shocks with equity markets. Our sample period ranges from January 6, 2005, to July 17, 2020. Empirical results show a medium connectedness between examined equity markets and oil shocks, in terms of returns and volatility, with an unpreceded level during the recent COVID-19 crisis. Furthermore, the volatility of oil-exporting countries contributes more to the volatility connectedness. Demand shock and risk shock are the main contributors to the connectedness. This study analyzes the relationship between oil shocks and the equity markets of a group of world major oil producers and consumers encompassing both the GCC and BRICS economies. We employ a novel framework to decompose the oil shocks (demand, supply, and risk shocks) into their daily components. Subsequently, we also employ a network connectedness approach to investigate the static and time-varying connectedness of these shocks with equity markets. Our sample period ranges from January 6, 2005, to July 17, 2020. Empirical results show a medium connectedness between examined equity markets and oil shocks, in terms of returns and volatility, with an unpreceded level during the recent COVID-19 crisis. Furthermore, the volatility of oil-exporting countries contributes more to the volatility connectedness. Demand shock and risk shock are the main contributors to the connectedness. (c) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
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页数:11
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