Geographical spread of influenza incidence in Spain during the 2009 A(H1N1) pandemic wave and the two succeeding influenza seasons

被引：3

作者：

Gomez-Barroso, D. ^{[1
,2
]}

Martinez-Beneito, M. A. ^{[3
]}

Flores, V. ^{[2
]}

Amoros, R. ^{[4
]}

Delgado, C. ^{[1
,2
]}

Botella, P. ^{[5
]}

Zurriaga, O. ^{[6
]}

Larrauri, A. ^{[1
,2
]}

机构：

[1] CIBER Epidemiol & Salud Publ, Madrid, Spain

[2] Carlos III Inst Hlth, Natl Ctr Epidemiol, Madrid 28029, Spain

[3] Ctr Super Invest Salud Publ CSISP FISABIO, Valencia, Spain

[4] Univ Valencia, Dept Estat & Invest Operat, Valencia, Spain

[5] Univ CEU Cardenal Herrera, Moncada, Spain

[6] Generalitat Valenciana, Direcc Gen Invest & Salud Publ DGSP, Area Epidemiol, Valencia, Spain

来源：

EPIDEMIOLOGY AND INFECTION | 2014年 / 142卷 / 12期

关键词：

Influenza; spatial modelling; spread of disease; surveillance; SURVEILLANCE DATA; JAPAN; MORTALITY; ILLNESS; TRENDS; VIRUS;

D O I：

10.1017/S0950268813003439

中图分类号：

R1 [预防医学、卫生学];

学科分类号：

1004 ; 120402 ;

摘要：

The aim of this study was to monitor the spatio-temporal spread of influenza incidence in Spain during the 2009 pandemic and the following two influenza seasons 2010-2011 and 2011-2012 using a Bayesian Poisson mixed regression model; and implement this model of geographical analysis in the Spanish Influenza Surveillance System to obtain maps of influenza incidence for every week. In the pandemic wave the maps showed influenza activity spreading from west to east. The 2010-2011 influenza epidemic wave plotted a north-west/south-east pattern of spread. During the 2011-2012 season the spread of influenza was geographically heterogeneous. The most important source of variability in the model is the temporal term. The model of spatiotemporal spread of influenza incidence is a supplementary tool of influenza surveillance in Spain.

引用

页码：2629 / 2641

页数：13

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