The effects of oil price shocks on US stock order flow imbalances and stock returns

被引：15

作者：

Lambertides, Neophytos ^{[1
]}

Savva, Christos S. ^{[1
,2
]}

Tsouknidis, Dimitris A. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Cyprus Univ Technol, Dept Commerce Finance & Shipping, 115 Spyrou Araouzou Str,POB 50329, CY-3036 Limassol, Cyprus

[2] Univ Manchester, Ctr Growth & Business Cycle Res, Manchester M13 9PL, Lancs, England

来源：

JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE | 2017年 / 74卷

关键词：

Oil price shocks; Stock order flow imbalances; Structural VAR; LIQUIDITY; INFORMATION; MARKETS; IMPACT;

D O I：

10.1016/j.jimonfin.2017.03.008

中图分类号：

F8 [财政、金融];

学科分类号：

0202 ;

摘要：

This paper investigates for the first time the effects of oil demand shocks and oil supply shocks on stock order flow imbalances leading to changes in stock returns. Through the estimation of a structural VAR model, positive oil demand shocks are able to explain almost 36% of the observed variation in the daily average stock order flow imbalances measured by the buy/sell trades ratio; which consequently lead to a negative rather than positive stock returns reaction. In contrast, oil supply shocks exhibit a negative and marginally significant effect on stock order flow imbalances. Our aggregate analysis suggests that positive shocks on stock order flow imbalances are negatively related to stock returns. These effects are stronger for oil-related sectors when compared with the rest of the equities sectors. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：137 / 146

页数：10

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