The 52-week High Momentum Strategy and Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China

被引:1
|
作者
Zhou, Xuemei [1 ]
Liu, Qiang [1 ]
Guo, Shuxin [2 ]
机构
[1] Southwestern Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Finance, Chengdu, Peoples R China
[2] Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Sch Econ & Management, 111,Sect 1,North Erhuan Rd, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
52-week high; momentum strategy; anchoring biases; economic policy uncertainty; EPU;
D O I
10.1080/1540496X.2021.1904880
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This is the first study to examine the 52-week high momentum strategy that takes economic policy uncertainty (EPU) into account. Empirically, we find significant 52-week high momentum in China, the second-largest stock market in the world, and our findings confirm the results of the US. We hypothesize that anchoring biases could explain the 52-week high momentum and generate significant momentum profits in low EPU periods. The empirical results show strong 52-week high momentum in low EPU periods; there is virtually no momentum when EPU is high, which supports our prediction. Further investigations show that there are no long-run reversals for the 52-week high momentum, and the negative impact of EPU on the 52-week high momentum decreases and eventually vanishes over the long term. All evidence supports the hypothesis that the 52-week high momentum is attributed to anchoring biases, especially when we consider EPU.
引用
收藏
页码:428 / 440
页数:13
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