Numerical Bayesian inference with arbitrary prior

被引:0
|
作者
Tsionas, EG [1 ]
机构
[1] Minist Natl Econ, Council Econ Advisers, Athens 10180, Greece
关键词
Bayesian inference; linear model; prior information; stable distributions;
D O I
10.1007/BF02925762
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
The purpose of the paper, is to explain how recent advances in Markov Chain Monte Carlo integration can facilitate the routine Bayesian analysis of the linear model when the prior distribution is completely user dependent. The method is based on a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm with a Student-t source distribution that can generate posterior moments as well as marginal posterior densities for model parameters. The method is illustrated with numerical examples where the combination of prior and likelihood information leads to multimodal posteriors due to prior-likelihood conflicts, and to cases where prior information can be summarized by symmetric stable Paretian distributions.
引用
收藏
页码:437 / 451
页数:15
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