Can infectious modeling be applicable globally: Lessons from COVID-19

被引:1
|
作者
Magana-Arachchi, Dhammika N. [1 ]
Wanigatunge, Rasika P. [2 ]
Vithanage, Meththika S. [3 ]
机构
[1] Natl Inst Fundamental Studies, Mol Microbiol & Human Dis Unit, Kandy, Sri Lanka
[2] Univ Kelaniya, Fac Sci, Dept Plant & Mol Biol, Kelaniya, Sri Lanka
[3] Univ Sri Jayewardenepura, Fac Appl Sci, Ecosphere Resilience Res Ctr, Nugegoda, Sri Lanka
关键词
COVID-19; Infectious diseases; Infectious modeling; Basic reproduction; number Prediction;
D O I
10.1016/j.coesh.2022.100399
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Contagious diseases are needed to be monitored to prevent spreading within communities. Timely advice and predictions are necessary to overcome the consequences of those epi-demics. Currently, emphasis has been placed on computer modeling to achieve the needed forecasts, the best example being the COVID-19 pandemic. Scientists used various models to determine how diverse sociodemographic factors correlated and influenced COVID-19 Global transmission and demonstrated the utility of computer models as tools in disease management. However, as modeling is done with assumptions with set rules, calculating uncertainty quantification is essential in infectious modelling when reporting the results and trustfully describing the limitations. This article summarizes the infec-tious disease modeling strategies, challenges, and global applicability by focusing on the COVID-19 pandemic.
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页数:8
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