An effective approach for assessing risk of failure in urban sewer pipelines using a combination of GIS and AHP-DEA

被引:45
|
作者
Ghavami, Seyed Morsal [1 ]
Borzooei, Zahra [2 ]
Maleki, Jamshid [3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Zanjan, Fac Engn, Geomat Dept, Zanjan, Iran
[2] Univ Zanjan, Geog Dept, Zanjan, Iran
[3] Univ Isfahan, Fac Civil Engn & Transportat, Dept Surveying Engn, Esfahan, Iran
关键词
AHP-DEA integration; GIS; Bayesian network; Risk of failure; Consequence of failure; Probability of failure; DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS; ASSESSMENT MODEL; WATER; METHODOLOGY; PREDICTION; INSPECTION; SYSTEM; PIPES;
D O I
10.1016/j.psep.2019.10.036
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
The urban sewer pipeline network is a vital urban infrastructure that is highly at risk of failure and its deterioration can be harmful to the environment and public health and safety. Therefore, for performing an effective rehabilitation program, it is needed to prioritize the sewer pipelines. In this paper, a novel risk assessment approach is proposed for prioritizing sewer pipelines based on a combination of Geospatial Information System (GIS) and Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP)- Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). To do so, it calculates the Probability of Failure (PoF), along with the Consequence of Failure (CoF) for the sewer pipelines. Bayesian Network (BN) as the probabilistic method is used to calculate PoF. The main contribution of the study lies in using a combination of GIS, AHP, and DEA for quantitatively assessing the CoF, firstly, the criteria weights are determined by the AHP method through experts' judgments. Then, GIS functionalities along with DEA, are used to calculate scores for the alternatives. Finally, the outputs of the AHP method are integrated with the outputs of the DEA method in order to calculate CoF. The proposed method is applied to a local sewer pipeline network as a real-world case study to assess its risk of failure. The results indicated that the sewer pipelines are in good condition in the study area and among 1605 sewer pipelines, only 48 of them (about 3 %) are in a critical situation that it is needed to perform rehabilitation program. (C) 2019 Institution of Chemical Engineers. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:275 / 285
页数:11
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