Shining light on sky cover during a total solar eclipse

Sky cover is a unique parameter because its quantification is subject to the perspective of the observer or characteristics of the observing instrumentation. Forecasting sky cover provided a professional challenge to operational meteorologists seeking to offer a refined forecast beyond numerical weather prediction guidance along the path of totality resulting from a solar eclipse traversing North America on August 21, 2017. A routine analysis with which to monitor subtle trends in sky cover and compare sky cover forecasts is also not widely available. This contribution reviews 1-h gridded forecasts of sky cover from the United States National Weather Service (NWS) on the eclipse day and compares them with hourly satellite and surface sky observations for an area of interest over the southeastern United States. An inconsistency between the real-time mesoscale analysis (RTMA) and the NWS National Digital Forecast Database is revealed during the eclipse totality. A satellite-to-satellite comparison of the adjusted average cloud top emissivity over this same area reveals how resolution and algorithm improvements to next-generation satellite imagers may alter the RTMA of total cloud cover in the latest era of Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES), starting with the GOES-16 Advanced Baseline Imager. (C) The Authors. Published by SPIE