Hypotheses and inductive predictions - Including examples on crash data

被引:6
|
作者
Romeyn, JW [1 ]
机构
[1] Filosofisch Inst, NL-9718 CW Groningen, Netherlands
关键词
Inductive Assumption; Inductive Method; Inductive Logic; Hypothesis Scheme; Hasty Generalization;
D O I
10.1023/B:SYNT.0000044993.82886.9e
中图分类号
N09 [自然科学史]; B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号
01 ; 0101 ; 010108 ; 060207 ; 060305 ; 0712 ;
摘要
This paper studies the use of hypotheses schemes in generating inductive predictions. After discussing Camap-Hintikka inductive logic, hypotheses schemes are defined and illustrated with two partitions. One partition results in the Carnapian continuum of inductive methods, the other results in predictions typical for hasty generalization. Following these examples I argue that choosing a partition comes down to making inductive assumptions on patterns in the data, and that by choosing appropriately any inductive assumption can be made. Further considerations on partitions make clear that they do not suggest any solution to the problem of induction. Hypotheses schemes provide the tools for making inductive assumptions, but they also reveal the need for such assumptions.
引用
收藏
页码:333 / 364
页数:32
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