Topological Data Analysis for Identifying Critical Transitions in Cryptocurrency Time Series

被引:0
|
作者
Saengduean, P. [1 ]
Noisagool, S. [2 ]
Chamchod, F. [1 ]
机构
[1] Mahidol Univ, Fac Sci, Dept Math, Bangkok, Thailand
[2] Mahidol Univ, Dept Phys, Fac Sci, Bangkok, Thailand
关键词
Financial crashes; Financial time series; Cryptocurrency; K-means clustering; Topological data analysis; EARLY-WARNING SIGNAL; LANDSCAPES;
D O I
10.1109/ieem45057.2020.9309855
中图分类号
T [工业技术];
学科分类号
08 ;
摘要
In this study, we investigate financial crashes in the cryptocurrency market including both mini and major crashes for two cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, during the period that the digital market crashed in 2018. By applying techniques in topological data analysis, we are able to predict financial transitions and explore optimal values of the window size and the dimension of point cloud data to obtain good early warning signals. Our results demonstrate good early warning signals before the financial crashes and also show that the L-1-norm and C-1 - norm of persistent landscapes peak before the crashes occur.
引用
收藏
页码:933 / 938
页数:6
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