El Nino-Southern Oscillation complexity

被引：811

作者：

Timmermann, Axel ^{[1
,2
,3
]}

An, Soon-Il ^{[4
]}

Kug, Jong-Seong ^{[5
]}

Jin, Fei-Fei ^{[6
]}

Cai, Wenju ^{[7
,8
,9
,10
]}

Capotondi, Antonietta ^{[11
,12
]}

Cobb, Kim M. ^{[13
]}

Lengaigne, Matthieu ^{[14
]}

McPhaden, Michael J. ^{[15
]}

Stuecker, Malte F. ^{[16
,17
]}

Stein, Karl ^{[1
,2
]}

Wittenberg, Andrew T. ^{[18
]}

Yun, Kyung-Sook ^{[1
,2
]}

Bayr, Tobias ^{[19
]}

Chen, Han-Ching ^{[20
]}

Chikamoto, Yoshimitsu ^{[21
]}

Dewitte, Boris ^{[22
,23
]}

Dommenget, Dietmar ^{[24
]}

Grothe, Pamela ^{[25
]}

Guilyardi, Eric ^{[26
,27
]}

Ham, Yoo-Geun ^{[28
]}

Hayashi, Michiya

Ineson, Sarah ^{[29
]}

Kang, Daehyun ^{[30
]}

Kim, Sunyong ^{[5
]}

Kim, WonMoo ^{[31
]}

Lee, June-Yi ^{[1
,2
]}

Li, Tim ^{[3
,6
]}

Luo, Jing-Jia ^{[32
]}

McGregor, Shayne ^{[24
]}

Planton, Yann

Power, Scott ^{[32
]}

Rashid, Harun

Ren, Hong-Li ^{[33
]}

Santoso, Agus ^{[34
]}

Takahashi, Ken ^{[35
]}

Todd, Alexander ^{[36
]}

Wang, Guomin ^{[32
]}

Wang, Guojian ^{[7
]}

Xie, Ruihuang ^{[37
]}

Yang, Woo-Hyun ^{[5
]}

Yeh, Sang-Wook ^{[38
]}

Yoon, Jinho ^{[39
]}

Zeller, Elke ^{[1
,2
]}

Zhang, Xuebin ^{[40
]}

机构：

[1] Ctr Climate Phys, IBS, Busan, South Korea

[2] Pusan Natl Univ, Busan, South Korea

[3] Univ Hawaii Manoa, Int Pacific Res Ctr, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA

[4] Yonsei Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seoul, South Korea

[5] Pohang Univ Sci & Technol POSTECH, Div Environm Sci & Engn, Pohang, South Korea

[6] Univ Hawaii Manoa, SOEST, Dept Atmospher Sci, Honolulu, HI 96822 USA

[7] CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, Aspendale, Vic, Australia

[8] Ocean Univ China, Phys Oceanog Lab CIMST, Qingdao, Peoples R China

[9] Qingdao Natl Lab Marine Sci & Technol, Qingdao, Peoples R China

[10] CSIRO Oceans & Atmosphere, CSHOR, Hobart, Tas, Australia

[11] Univ Colorado, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Boulder, CO 80309 USA

[12] NOAA, Earth Syst Res Lab, Div Phys Sci, Boulder, CO USA

[13] Georgia Tech, Earth & Atmospher Sci, Atlanta, GA USA

[14] Sorbonne Univ, LOCEAN IPSL, UPMC CNRS IRD MNHN, Paris, France

[15] NOAA, Pacific Marine Environm Lab, 7600 Sand Point Way Ne, Seattle, WA 98115 USA

[16] Univ Washington, Dept Atmospher Sci, Seattle, WA 98195 USA

[17] Univ Corp Atmospher Res, Cooperat Programs Adv Earth Syst Sci, Boulder, CO USA

[18] NOAA, Geophys Fluid Dynam Lab, Princeton, NJ USA

[19] GEOMAR Helmholtz Ctr Ocean Res, Kiel, Germany

[20] Natl Taiwan Univ, Dept Atmospher Sci, Taipei, Taiwan

[21] Utah State Univ, Dept Plants Soils & Climate, Logan, UT 84322 USA

[22] CEAZA, Coquimbo, Chile

[23] Lab Etudes Geophys & Oceanog Spatiaie, Toulouse, France

[24] Monash Univ, Sch Earth Atmosphere & Environm, Clayton, Vic, Australia

[25] Univ Mary Washington, Dept Earth & Environm Sci, Fredericksburg, VA USA

[26] IRD UPMC CNRS MNHN, LOCEAN, Paris, France

[27] Univ Reading, NCAS Climate, Reading, Berks, England

[28] Chonnam Natl Univ, Dept Oceanog, Gwangju, South Korea

[29] Met Off Hadley Ctr, Exeter, Devon, England

[30] Ulsan Natl Inst Sci & Technol, Sch Urban & Environm Engn, Ulsan, South Korea

[31] Climate Predict Dept, APEC Climate Ctr, Busan, South Korea

[32] Australian Bur Meteorol, Melbourne, Vic, Australia

[33] China Meteorol Adm, Natl Climate Ctr, Lab Climate Studies, Beijing, Peoples R China

[34] Univ New South Wales, Fac Sci, ARC Ctr Excellence Climate Syst Sci, Sydney, NSW, Australia

[35] Inst Geofis Peru, Lima, Peru

[36] Univ Exeter, Coll Engn Math & Phys Sci, Exeter, Devon, England

[37] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Oceanol, Qingdao, Peoples R China

[38] Hanyang Univ, Dept Marine Sci & Convergent Technol, Ansan, South Korea

[39] Gwangju Inst Sci & Technol, Sch Earth Sci & Environm Engn, Gwangju, South Korea

[40] CSIRO Ocean & Atmosphere, Hobart, Tas, Australia

来源：

NATURE | 2018年 / 559卷 / 7715期

基金：

新加坡国家研究基金会; 美国海洋和大气管理局;

关键词：

SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; PACIFIC CONVERGENCE ZONE; WESTERLY WIND BURSTS; COMBINATION-MODE; MERIDIONAL MODE; ENSO; EVENTS; INSTABILITY; TERMINATION; VARIABILITY;

D O I：

10.1038/s41586-018-0252-6

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

El Nino events are characterized by surface warming of the tropical Pacific Ocean and weakening of equatorial trade winds that occur every few years. Such conditions are accompanied by changes in atmospheric and oceanic circulation, affecting global climate, marine and terrestrial ecosystems, fisheries and human activities. The alternation of warm El Nino and cold La Nina conditions, referred to as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), represents the strongest year-to-year fluctuation of the global climate system. Here we provide a synopsis of our current understanding of the spatio-temporal complexity of this important climate mode and its influence on the Earth system.

引用

页码：535 / 545

页数：11

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